Saturday, January 19, 2019

Third prediction and debriefing

The third prediction is appearing in advance of the second prediction for a reason.  The third prediction of a market pivot is related to a greater trend of market movement than than the second prediction.  The third prediction is for a decline the magnitude of that which occurred between October 11, 1929 (the secondary market top of the 1929 Great Crash) and November 13, 1929 (the bottom of the 1929 Great Crash though not the Great Depression bottom).

The decline to occur in the next 3 months was suggested in the previous post.  It began at the top which occurred Friday at DJIA 24750.  There should not be a higher high in the next several years according to mathematic relationships between time and price I have re discovered.  This great decline is predicted to end between April 14 and April 19, 2019.  The date of this low (whichever day occurs) is analogous with November 13, 1929.

Applying the same mathematic relationships DJIA will decline to a range of 12350 and 12550.

And now a debriefing.  Yesterday before the market opened I predicted the market would rise to at least DJIA 24800 and that would be the last high before a great decline.  As it turns out, DJIA rose to 24750 and did not meet the minimum level I claimed would occur.  The prediction is a failure.

But the math did not fail.  The mathematician failed in two regards.  First, several prior 2018 market highs and lows mathematically point to one number, 248.  To explain, draw three horizontally contiguous squares and write 247 in the left most, 248 in the middle one and 249 in the right most.  Now, if I told you that I had selected 248, where would you find it.  Obviously, right on top of the 248.  But if I asked you where 247.50, where would you point?  I'd hope, at the vertical side that separates the squares.  The mathematical triangulations of ancient mathematics that I apply pointed to 248.  I should have known it applied to a range of 247.50 to 248.50.  Indeed, those same mathematics point to a point in the year which represents not an exact day, but a point that represents 5 days.  Why should I think the lowest DJIA level would have been 248 which is only the midpoint of a range.

Second, I continue to work with the various concoctions of what I call swag math; Elliott Wave, Fibonacci price and time, analog movements....  endless methods created by analysts to describe markets, encourage subscriptions, encourage purchases.  I was most swayed by a Fibonacci projection I'd created from internal waves of the market as far back as the December 25, 2018 low and as recent as the day before yesterday.  Wow, so many wound ups at or near 248.99.  That must be it.  No logic, no relation to causal mathematics.  I expanded my area of prediction to 248-249.  Simply coincidence.

True mathematics is 'natural law.'  Some people would as manipulating Fibonacci price or time levels is mathematics.  Well, those methods use mathematics and logic that all too often "talks the book" of the analyst.  But they do not involve the "natural law" that governs time and price.

The method that created the prediction yesterday (which should have been 24750 to 24850 by the end of the day) is based on natural law that governs time and price.  Moreover, it is the law that governs all time and space in our world.  And that law demands that price and time be interdependent; one determines the other and vice versa.

How quaint, time determines price and price determines time; circularity.    


*** ***

The first low of what will soon become the Great Crash of 2019 actually occurred on December 25, 2018.  Check it out.  The markets were closed, but you will find that some poor soul sold DIA at 9:16PM on Christmas day.  He found the perfect bottom to sell:


What a coincidence, the market saw its first bottom of the Great Crash of 2019 on the day Jesus was born.  

Now consider the final bottom of the Great Crash of 2019 predicted to occur between April 13 and April 19.  What if it occurs on April 19; Good Friday.  Of course, the NYSE is closed that day, but what might happen in the premarket/aftermarket.

The second prediction will be posted in the next day or two.  It will address one of the sub waves of the forthcoming Great Crash.  I have an analog swag giving me February 13 at a DJIA level 12% lower than yesterday, but that is not the math of natural law which I promote.  


Thirty Three
January 19, 2019

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